Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://repositorio.unitau.br/jspui/handle/20.500.11874/2648
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dc.contributor.authorArce, G. L. A. F.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorCarvalho, J. A., Jr.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorNascimento, Luiz Fernando Costapt_BR
dc.date.accessioned2019-09-12T16:53:35Z-
dc.date.available2019-09-12T16:53:35Z-
dc.date.issued2014-
dc.citation.volume272pt_BR
dc.citation.spage59-
dc.citation.epage67-
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2013.09.006pt_BR
dc.identifier.issn0304-3800-
dc.identifier.issn1872-7026-
dc.identifier.urihttp://repositorio.unitau.br/jspui/handle/20.500.11874/2648-
dc.description.abstractOne of the main challenges of environment planning is to identify a model that connects all factors that determine the carbon cycle, that is: ocean-terrestrial ecosystem-anthropogenic emissions-atmosphere. Basic principle of mass conservation can be applied in statistical modeling with a historic time series to obtain the atmospheric CO2 concentration, making it possible to create scenarios that will help in the decision making process. A model that links all carbon cycle factors has been developed this article, focusing on the Boreal, Temperate, Tropical, and Polar thermal climatic zones to calculate atmospheric CO2 level. It was developed with nonparametric models based on carbon dioxide records from measurement stations: EIA (Energy Information Administration), CDIAC (Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center), FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization), and SIO (Scripp Institution Oceanography). The advantage of the model developed here is that it is able to analyze different scenarios, considering both the behavior of particular countries or groups of countries in each thermal zone and their influence on the predicted concentrations of atmospheric CO2. Results show that in 2100, the atmospheric CO2 concentration will be four times that of the pre-industrial period. The Temperate zone already emits almost half of the carbon dioxide to the atmosphere; by 2100, this emission will increase 15 times more than that of the tropical zone. China will be responsible for nearly two times the emissions of the United States. CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere will stabilize when anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions decrease by at least 36% in the Temperate zone by 2100. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.en
dc.description.provenanceMade available in DSpace on 2019-09-12T16:53:35Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 0 Previous issue date: 2014en
dc.description.sponsorshipFundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)pt_BR
dc.languageInglêspt_BR
dc.publisherElsevier Science Bv-
dc.publisher.countryHolandapt_BR
dc.relation.ispartofEcological Modelling-
dc.rightsEm verificaçãopt_BR
dc.sourceWeb of Sciencept_BR
dc.subject.otherAtmospheric Carbon Dioxide Concentrationen
dc.subject.otherThermal Zonesen
dc.subject.otherTime Series Modelen
dc.subject.otherLand-Useen
dc.subject.otherFluxesen
dc.titleA time series sequestration and storage model of atmospheric carbon dioxideen
dc.typeArtigo de Periódicopt_BR
dc.contributor.orcidArce, Gretta https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3056-4275pt_BR
dc.contributor.orcidCarvalho, Joao https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5599-9611pt_BR
dc.contributor.researcheridArce, Gretta/J-9192-2013pt_BR
dc.contributor.researcheridCarvalho, Joao/T-9248-2019pt_BR
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000328710900006-
dc.description.affiliation[Arce, G. L. A. F.; Carvalho, J. A., Jr.] Sao Paulo State Univ UNESP, Dept Energy, BR-12516410 Guaratingueta, SP, Brazil-
dc.description.affiliation[Nascimento, L. F. C.] Universidade de Taubaté (Unitau) , Sch Med-
dc.subject.wosareaEcologyen
dc.subject.researchareaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecologyen
Appears in Collections:Artigos de Periódicos

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